Key Concept: Combining Binomial Trials, Independence
b) 0.2485
[Solution Description]
Let $X_1$ be the number of successes in Experiment 1 ($n_1 = 6$, $p_1 = 0.4$) and $X_2$ be the number of successes in Experiment 2 ($n_2 = 4$, $p_2 = 0.6$). We want $P(X_1 + X_2 = 5)$.
Since the experiments are independent, the joint probability is the product of individual probabilities. The possible pairs $(X_1, X_2)$ that satisfy $X_1 + X_2 = 5$ are:
$(1, 4), (2, 3), (3, 2), (4, 1), (5, 0)$.
However, since $X_2$ can only take values up to 4 ($n_2 = 4$), valid pairs are:
$(1, 4), (2, 3), (3, 2), (4, 1)$.
Calculate each term using the binomial formula:
- $P(X_1 = 1) = {}^{6}C_1 (0.4)^1 (0.6)^5 = 6 \times 0.4 \times 0.07776 = 0.186624$
$P(X_2 = 4) = {}^{4}C_4 (0.6)^4 (0.4)^0 = 1 \times 0.1296 \times 1 = 0.1296$
Joint: $0.186624 \times 0.1296 \approx 0.0242$
- $P(X_1 = 2) = {}^{6}C_2 (0.4)^2 (0.6)^4 = 15 \times 0.16 \times 0.1296 = 0.31104$
$P(X_2 = 3) = {}^{4}C_3 (0.6)^3 (0.4)^1 = 4 \times 0.216 \times 0.4 = 0.3456$
Joint: $0.31104 \times 0.3456 \approx 0.1075$
- $P(X_1 = 3) = {}^{6}C_3 (0.4)^3 (0.6)^3 = 20 \times 0.064 \times 0.216 = 0.27648$
$P(X_2 = 2) = {}^{4}C_2 (0.6)^2 (0.4)^2 = 6 \times 0.36 \times 0.16 = 0.3456$
Joint: $0.27648 \times 0.3456 \approx 0.0956$
- $P(X_1 = 4) = {}^{6}C_4 (0.4)^4 (0.6)^2 = 15 \times 0.0256 \times 0.36 = 0.13824$
$P(X_2 = 1) = {}^{4}C_1 (0.6)^1 (0.4)^3 = 4 \times 0.6 \times 0.064 = 0.1536$
Joint: $0.13824 \times 0.1536 \approx 0.0212$
Summing the joint probabilities:
$0.0242 + 0.1075 + 0.0956 + 0.0212 \approx 0.2485$.
Your Answer is correct.
b) 0.2485
[Solution Description]
Let $X_1$ be the number of successes in Experiment 1 ($n_1 = 6$, $p_1 = 0.4$) and $X_2$ be the number of successes in Experiment 2 ($n_2 = 4$, $p_2 = 0.6$). We want $P(X_1 + X_2 = 5)$.
Since the experiments are independent, the joint probability is the product of individual probabilities. The possible pairs $(X_1, X_2)$ that satisfy $X_1 + X_2 = 5$ are:
$(1, 4), (2, 3), (3, 2), (4, 1), (5, 0)$.
However, since $X_2$ can only take values up to 4 ($n_2 = 4$), valid pairs are:
$(1, 4), (2, 3), (3, 2), (4, 1)$.
Calculate each term using the binomial formula:
- $P(X_1 = 1) = {}^{6}C_1 (0.4)^1 (0.6)^5 = 6 \times 0.4 \times 0.07776 = 0.186624$
$P(X_2 = 4) = {}^{4}C_4 (0.6)^4 (0.4)^0 = 1 \times 0.1296 \times 1 = 0.1296$
Joint: $0.186624 \times 0.1296 \approx 0.0242$
- $P(X_1 = 2) = {}^{6}C_2 (0.4)^2 (0.6)^4 = 15 \times 0.16 \times 0.1296 = 0.31104$
$P(X_2 = 3) = {}^{4}C_3 (0.6)^3 (0.4)^1 = 4 \times 0.216 \times 0.4 = 0.3456$
Joint: $0.31104 \times 0.3456 \approx 0.1075$
- $P(X_1 = 3) = {}^{6}C_3 (0.4)^3 (0.6)^3 = 20 \times 0.064 \times 0.216 = 0.27648$
$P(X_2 = 2) = {}^{4}C_2 (0.6)^2 (0.4)^2 = 6 \times 0.36 \times 0.16 = 0.3456$
Joint: $0.27648 \times 0.3456 \approx 0.0956$
- $P(X_1 = 4) = {}^{6}C_4 (0.4)^4 (0.6)^2 = 15 \times 0.0256 \times 0.36 = 0.13824$
$P(X_2 = 1) = {}^{4}C_1 (0.6)^1 (0.4)^3 = 4 \times 0.6 \times 0.064 = 0.1536$
Joint: $0.13824 \times 0.1536 \approx 0.0212$
Summing the joint probabilities:
$0.0242 + 0.1075 + 0.0956 + 0.0212 \approx 0.2485$.